Best Short Answer
“China”大概率来自古代外部世界对中国的称呼链:Cīna / Čīn / Ṣīn → China。
最常见的最终解释把源头追到“秦 Qin”,但严格说,学术上更稳妥的表述是:英语 China 直接来自近代欧洲语,近代欧洲语又继承了南亚和西亚的“Cina/Chin/Sin”一组名称;这些名称可能与秦有关,但不是百分之百可证。
English: The safest answer is not “China simply means Qin.” English China came through early modern European forms, especially Portuguese/Italian usage, which inherited older South Asian and West Asian names such as Cīna, Čīn, and Ṣīn. The Qin connection is plausible and influential, but the ultimate origin remains debated.
English China ← Portuguese/European China高 / High
英语中 16 世纪已有 China,用于指中国;欧洲航海与贸易语境中葡萄牙语 China 十分关键。
European China ← Persian/Indic Cīna/Chin中高 / Medium-high
词形、地理贸易路线和阿拉伯、波斯、梵文传统可以互相解释,但中间环节不是每一步都有同等强证据。
Ultimate source = Qin 秦中 / Medium
“秦说”最流行,也很合理;但早期文本年代、音变和替代地名假说使它不能被说成铁案。